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Iran F. Machado, Ph.D.

Invited Professor

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Professor Iran Ferreira Machado graduated in geology by the Federal University of Pernambuco (Brazil) in 1961 and got a Ph.D. degree from the Uppsala University (Sweden) six years later. In his professional life, he had positions in private enterprises, in the public service and in the academia. In the last 25 years he participated in: formulation of public policies aimed to foster the mining industry, studies for restructuring the mineral sector at the federal level, project management, analysis of investment opportunities, strategic planning, public funding of mining ventures, and negotiation between national and foreign companies. Since 1982 he is a faculty member at UNICAMP, where he formerly acted as Associate Director of the Institute of Geosciences, and is now an Invited Professor of the Department of Geology and Natural Resources (DGRN). In 1990-92 he was Coordinator for Mineral Economics and Technology of Departamento Nacional da Produção Mineral-DNPM, in Brasilia. From April 2002 to April 2003 he was Technical Secretary of Fundo Setorial de Recursos Minerais, at Centro de Gestao e Estudos Estrategicos-CGEE, tied to the Ministry of Science and Technology-MCT, in Brasilia.
He is also a science advisor to funding agencies like CAPES, CNPq and FAPESP, and a member of the Editorial Board of Minerals & Energy - Raw Materials Report
(former Journal of Mineral Policy, Business and Environment), from Stockholm, and Brasil Mineral, from Sao Paulo.

  Areas of interest: mineral policy, mineral economics, public policies, strategic planning, and crisis management


                      World Mines Ministries Forum
                                       500 Years of Mining in Brazil: a brief review - IF Machado, SFM Figueirôa,
                                     Ciência e Cultura, vol. 51, n. 3/4:287-301, 1999; see also Mining Journal, vol. 335,
                                             n. 8600, pages 212-213, Sept. 15, 2000, and Resources Policy, vol.27, n.1, pages 9-24,
                                   June 2001

                                                     Investor's Guide for Mining in Brazil

                                                                      Think Tanks

Source: Meadows, D. et al. Beyond the Limits: confronting global collapse; envisioning a sustainable future, Chelsea Green Publishing Co., 1992

Cool it! Take it easy! We have plenty of time for the proper corrections. Or don't we?

Source: Duncan, R.C. The Olduvai theory: sliding towards a post-industrial Stone Age, Institute on Energy and Man, June 27, 1996
Back to basics! Sketch of the Olduvai Theory

Energy-use: A - Tool making; B - Fire used; C - Neolithic Agricultural Revolution; D - Industrial Revolution (Watts steam engine);
E - Per capita energy-use in 1930 (37% of peak value); F - Peak energy-use; G - Present energy-use; H - Per capita energy-use
in 2025, est. (37% of peak value); I, J, K, and L - Recurring future attempts at industrialization fail.
Other scenarios are possible.


More futurology

Source:  Raskin, P., Gallopin, G., Gutman, P.,  Hammond, A. and Swart, R.    Bending the Curve: Toward Global Sustainability
Stockholm Environment Institute, 1998.
Environmental degradation is not a necessary outcome of development. It results from a set of historically
                  contingent choices for technology, production processes and consumption patterns. Similarly, poverty and
                  extreme inequity are not inevitable, but are the outcome of a specific set of social policy choices. Reversing the
                  negative trends, and creating a transition to global sustainability will not be easy. It will require a widespread
                  conviction that action is necessary and will depend on finding sufficient political will for action. Then, the
                  institutions, policies, and technologies for translating intentions into real-world solutions must be harnessed or
                  forged. The primary agents for change are governments, businesses, and the new institutions of civil society, the
                  proliferating collection of non-governmental organizations engaged in addressing the full range of
                  environmental and social issues.


Now hear this:
Biological species almost never survive encounters with superior competitors. Ten million years ago, South and North America
were separated by a sunken Panama isthmus. South America, like Australia today, was populated by
marsupial mammals, including pouched equivalents of rats, deers, and tigers. When the isthmus
connecting North and South America rose, it took only a few thousand years for the northern placental species, with slightly more
effective metabolisms and reproductive and nervous systems, to displace and eliminate almost all the southern marsupials.


In a completely free marketplace, superior robots would surely affect humans as North American placentals affected South American marsupials (and as humans have affected countless species). Robotic industries would compete
vigorously among themselves for matter, energy, and space, incidentally driving their price beyond human reach. Unable to afford the necessities of life, biological humans would be squeezed out of existence.

There is probably some breathing room, because we do not live in a completely free marketplace. Government coerces nonmarket behavior, especially by collecting taxes. Judiciously applied, governmental coercion could support human
populations in high style on the fruits of robot labor, perhaps for a long while.

Visions of the 21st. Century (Time.com) - very nice insights about our future



Philosopher's Corner

 You may reach me by e-mail at: ifmachado@hotmail.com

55-xx-19-3788 4696 or 3289 1097

55-xx-19-3289 1562


This home page was created by Web Designer Gustavo Machado
Copyright © 1996-2004 Iran Ferreira Machado

DISCLAIMER: This is a personal page, and not an official UNICAMP page. Its contents are of entire responsibility of Iran Ferreira Machado.

Last update: November 7, 2004